Price of Gold Weekly Recap – January 7-11, 2013

Monday Open: $1,658.90
Weekly High: $1,678.90
Weekly Low: $1,646.10
Friday Close: $1,660.30

Gold’s begun the year on a volatile sprint toward an uncertain future. Just barely adding one more notch on a twelve year upward trend at the end of 2012, the precious metal spent this week gaining and losing momentum by turns. After the Federal Reserve’s hints at lessening quantitative easing last week, the market has been shifty, though no real news has broken. The change in the price of gold from the week’s beginning to end is negligible, hovering around $1,660.

Monday opened the markets to hit the week’s low after traders were still processing the Fed’s minute’s from last week. The $1,645 level gold hit is the lowest since mid-August 2012, and it continues a six-week downturn. However, regarding the Fed’s foreshadowing, it’s not overly likely that the Fed will change its policy anytime soon. Some of the weightiest names in the Fed – ChairmanBen Bernanke, Vice Chair Janet Yellen and New York Fed President William Dudley – aim to retain the status quo. Furthermore, some of the world’s most prominent investment strategists, including PIMCO’s Bill Gross and DoubleLine Capital’s Jeffrey Gundlach, do not expect to see the Fed changing tactics in the near future.

Tuesday rebounded a little bit to eke its way over the $1,650 mark. Wednesday swayed up and down around that range, ending a little higher on a dipping dollar. There weren’t too many external circumstances to affect the price of gold this week, though traders are waiting to see what U.S. lawmakers will do next, and hinging on fresh economic data from China ahead of the Chinese New Year. Usually, the Chinese New Year is a great time for gold, but this year’s gains are uncertain.

Thursday saw a gold rally after the European Central Bank meeting, in which it was decided that low interest rates would remain unchanged. The Bank President related to his constituents a positive outlook for economic growth. The Bank of England will not expand its quantitative easing program.

From the nearly $1,680 high of Thursday, gold plummeted back down to Monday’s levels on Friday, largely due to fresh economic data from China. The Chinese consumer-price-index flew up 2.5%, ahead of economists’ expectations, indicating higher inflation. The fear for gold is that the Chinese government may enact cautionary measures against inflation, tightening economic policies.

The jury is still undecided on the future for gold, but only time will tell whether 2013 will prove to be the end of gold’s bullish journey or whether the yellow metal has just been getting over a slump toward even greater heights.

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