Jan 21

Price of Gold Weekly Recap – January 14-18, 2013

Monday Open: $1,667.80
Weekly High: $1,694.10
Weekly Low: $1,667.80
Friday Close: $1,684.30

It was a good week for gold. After continued hums in the marketplace questioning gold’s volatility, January is proving to be a bull month for this yellow metal. Gold gained 1.6% this week, its highest move since November 2012. This follows last week’s 0.3% gain, which ended a six-week long losing spree. Speculation still abounds about gold’s true winning capacity, but so far, the market is showing slow but steady gains.

Monday opened with the low of the week and shot steadily upwards through Tuesday. On Tuesday morning, news broke that platinum was trading higher than gold, a rare phenomenon that last occurred March 2012. Platinum hit $1,702 while gold stayed around $1,682. Platinum rose largely due to the halting of some major mines, increasing desire for the metal. Gold responded little on Tuesday, but as platinum hit its seventh bullish day on Wednesday, gold did take a little drop.

Thursday’s drastic price fall can be attributed to the U.S. weekly jobless claims report, which was significantly better than expected. However, gold quickly rebounded a little while later in the day after U.S. manufacturing data revealed unexpected contraction.

Though the fiscal cliff crisis has passed, Credit Suisse analyst Tom Kendall pinpoints the U.S. debt ceiling as a major factor for gold. He assesses the situation as being positive for gold, since the U.S. faces downgrades from credit agencies, and thus a stronger investment in hedge funds. It will also get people thinking about the long-term value of the dollar, which will most likely turn out to be bullish for gold. The debt ceiling debate is on the horizon for the end of February.

Friday consolidated the week’s gains to end on a high note. Amid the trading activity this week, a few major investment companies added further speculative projections for gold in 2013. The projections vary drastically, as Goldman Sachs downgraded its 2013 gold prediction to $1,200, while successful gold producer Iamgold upgraded its projections to $2,500. Falling smack dab in the middle, metals consultancy firm GFMS predicted a bullish year for gold, anticipating $1,900 in the first two quarters. This firm cites strong demand from central governments and increased buying from India and China as factors for growth.

Despite hesitation in the market, the overall sentiment still maintains a positive light. Analysts at UBS, a Canadian financial firm, summed up Friday’s gains by stating, “The physical market is off to a good start this year, with many indicators so far pointing to a positive demand story.”

Jul 20

Price of Gold Weekly Recap – July 16-20

Monday Open: $1,588.10
Weekly High: $1,596.50
Weekly Low: $1,569.30
Friday Close: $1,584.00

This week continued the typical holding pattern that gold has been experiencing since the beginning of the summer, following a few modest ups and downs but generally maintaining a steady balance, not straying not too far from $1,580 during this 5-day trading period. The major events of the week included anticipation of some change in Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernake’s economic policy, gains in the Indian rupee, a falling dollar and escalating conflicts in the Middle East.

Monday opened steady, with a weak dollar index, firm oil prices and news from China that their economy is still sluggish. Monday evening and Tuesday morning marked a slight rise in the price of gold to almost $1,600 (with some opting out of the market, as well), as bullish traders anticipated Bernake’s remarks on Tuesday afternoon. Despite the same story repeating itself over the past few months, where some clues indicate that Bernake may loosen U.S. economic restraints, thus burgeoning gold, he once again disappointed gold bulls on Tuesday with no concrete changes in financial policy. Compounding the disappointment was a slightly stronger dollar, and prices dropped to close lower on Tuesday.

Bernake spoke again on Wednesay, and true to pattern, said nothing on third quarter easing. Gold dropped slightly. Thursday revealed more weak U.S. economic data, spurring gold to climb back to its original state of around $1,580, and this foundation persisted through the end of the trading week. Friday saw slightly higher economic reports and a stronger dollar, but not enough to create a significant change in price.

Indian demand for gold is on the radar this week, as the rupee has been gaining strength and Indian traders, especially jewelers, are anticipating next month’s festival and wedding season. Gold is a tremendous part of Indian culture, especially special events and weddings, and though the rupee saw modest gains this week, Indian traders are still generally hanging out on the sidelines. Still, some analysts predict the price of gold to spike as much as 25% in the next month due to Indian demand.

In other news, a suicide bomber attacked a bus full of Israeli tourists in Bulgaria on Thursday, and late Wednesday, the Syrian defense minister was assassinated, heightening tensions in the Middle East. Any serious conflicts arising in the Middle East will likely spur a safety rush into gold, as well as increases in crude oil, which would also strengthen the precious metal.

With all these competing and mostly hypothetical factors influencing gold, the yellow metal seems to be stuck in a summer limbo. One report quoted Goldman Sachs as expecting gold to reach $1,840.00 per ounce in the next six months. As for now, traders are still waiting for U.S. policy changes, and Kitco’s weekly survey reported that participants are still pretty evenly split on the future of gold.

Mar 29

The Price of Gold “Too Low” Says Top Analysts

The price of gold is currently at $1656 an ounce. Predictions from Goldman Sachs analysts say the price will rise to $1785 within the next 3 months and up to $1840 by the end of 6 months. After a year, these experts say gold will then be at $1940 an ounce or higher. As stated in a letter put forth, the Goldman Sachs analysts said, “At current price levels gold remains a compelling trade but not a long-term investment.” Continue reading

Mar 29

Recap on Gold Prices for March 27th to 28th, 2012

Wednesday, March 28th, 2012, saw spot gold price head south dramatically at $18.70, from $1680.60 down to $1662.90 according to KITCO. This is following yesterday’s fall of $9.30 per ounce. The 1.04% drop in gold price is the continuation of a month-long trend. Over the last 30 days, spot gold has seen a steady decline in value, with $1635 per ounce its lowest mark. Continue reading