Jan 04

Price of Gold Weekly Recap – December 31, 2012-January 4, 2013

Monday Open: $1,675.20
Weekly High: $1,689.50
Weekly Low: $1,628.00
Friday Close: $1,651.70

Gold ended 2012 with a 12 year hot streak. The past decade has treated gold very well, and this yellow metal has been the talk of the town amid a global recession. Seen by investors as a safe haven, gobbled up by governments as alternative currency and watched by many as an indicator of economic turmoil, gold has had a large role in global finances in the past ten years. Although gold closed this year nearly $300 below the all-time high of $1,900 from 2011, the price of gold is still at a remarkable high, and boasts a 6% increase from the price at the end of 2011.

The markets were silent Monday and Tuesday for the New Year holiday, but reopened with a bang on Wednesday. Starting the year off right, gold responded well to the announcement on Monday that U.S. policymakers had reached an agreement regarding the fiscal cliff. Wednesday saw this week’s high of around $1,690. The fiscal cliff agreement, which had worried investors and citizens alike, rallied a global spike in trading around the globe.

Thursday, however, gold started to dip after better-than-expected unemployment data for the U.S. was released. A firmer dollar also slipped gold down a little, as these factors lessen the strength of gold as a safe haven investment.

Friday also saw losses in the gold market as investors worriedly responded to the previous day’s Federal Reserve meeting, in which members expressed mixed ideas about keeping the loose monetary policy that had been in place all of 2012. After the prolonged fiscal cliff agreement (a decision wasn’t reached until after December 31st, the cutoff date) Federal Reserve members discussed shortening the length of time for the previously decided mortgage-backed securities and long-term Treasury bonds. Some believe the policies should last until the end of 2013, some think they should end before the year, and some think there even needs to be further measures implemented.

These loose monetary agreements keep interest rates low, which at once help the economy bolster back but also create conditions rife for inflation, a positive sign for the hedge fund gold. With stricter Fed policies, gold may not be seen as such a secure hedge fund. Friday saw prices drop to the lowest since August. Gold investors will be keeping a very close eye on the Fed’s moves.

Aug 03

Price of Gold Weekly Recap – July 30-August 3

Monday Open: $1,621.00
Weekly High: $1,625.40
Weekly Low: $1,586.30
Friday Close: $1,603.60

This week gold opened at a 6-week high, trailing off gains from last week’s European refinancing, and though the price of gold dipped lower as the week progressed, it still managed to close above the $1,600 mark. After last week’s 2.5% price jump due to news that the European Central Bank is prepared to give the economy a boost by printing more money (which will devalue the euro and send people to a safe haven in gold), Monday opened high but sank on Tuesday as many investors decided to opt out of gold and leave the market with the gains just made.

U.S. unemployment and job loss data was bleak early in the week, buffering gold losses, and the Fed gave an uneventful public address on Wednesday, which again confirmed no economic easing, though it did acknowledge economic sluggishness. Still, gold bulls are hopeful that the coming weeks will finally show some economic easing from the Federal Reserve.

By Thursday, gold had been on a 4-day downturn as both the U.S. and the Eurozone disappointed with a lack of concrete economic policy. Contrary to expectations, European Central Bank president Mario Draghi did not announce any monetary policy or interest rate changes. He addressed the public to say that any government bond buying wouldn’t occur until September, and only on certain conditions. Thursday dropped down to around $1,585 — $30 down from Monday.

“It appears that central banks now need more economic data for them to come out with more aggressive actions, and that’s disappointing for gold investors,” Phillip Streible said on the matter. He is the senior commodities broker at R.J. O’Brien, a futures brokerage.

Yet, gold rose a percentage point on Friday as the dollar buckled, more negative unemployment data rolled in, and investors once again began betting on Fed easing. This kept the yellow metal afloat above the $1,600 mark; although, the beginning of the week marked a 6-week high, the end of the week marked the biggest weekly drop in prices in the same time frame. Gold is still trapped in the $1,525 to $1,675 trading range, a long way from the year’s high of $1,781 in March, held captive mainly by the ambiguous remarks made on economic policy by Fed and ECB chairmen.